The
International Institute for Middle East and Balkan Studies (IFIMES) in Ljubljana, Slovenia, regularly
analyses events in the Middle East and the Balkans. Dr Milan Jazbec (Policy Planning Director, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of
Slovenia, and Assistant Professor at the Faculty for Social Sciences,
University of Ljubljana. The author was State Secretary at the Slovene Ministry
of Defence from December 2000 till November 2004. He has published seven books
on diplomacy, among them "The Diplomacies of New Small States: The Case of
Slovenia with some comparison from the Baltics", Ashgate 2001, and "Diplomacy
and Security in the Western Balkans", Ifimes 2007. Views expressed in this
paper are solely of his own and do not represent those of his employer.),
member of the
International Institute IFIMES,
reflects and generalizes in his article "The
Integration Process as a Tool of Stability and Security in the Western Balkans"
the structural consequences of the 2004 EU enlargement, with particular
emphasis on the Western Balkans and its perspectives. His article is published
in its entirety.
THE
INTEGRATION PROCESS AS A TOOL OF STABILITY AND SECURITY IN THE WESTERN BALKANS
INTRODUCTION
The
state building process in the Western Balkans has undergone three big and complex
stages during the last hundred years. Firstly, it was during and after World
War I, when, from the chaos and conflicts that accompanied the dissolution of
both the Habsburg and Ottoman Empires, new states emerged. Secondly, it was
during and after World War II, when above all the political and ideological map
of the region changed decisively. And thirdly, it was following the end of the
Cold War, when during and after the dissolution of former Yugoslavia (parallel
with the opening of the then isolated Albania) conflicts prevailed again and
dominantly marked the state building process.
Generally speaking, one
could to detect the following phases in the state building process in the
region after the end of the Cold War:
-
War or major conflict,
leading to war;
-
Peace agreement;
-
Postconflict social
reconstruction, leading to expression of integration ambition;
-
Implementing this ambition
(with various approaches, phases, speed and success, depending on a country in
question).
There was an obviously
different security environment, created along the constant matrix of
des-integration and destruction, in all three stages, which heavily influenced
the nature of the state building process. However, the integration process and
its consequences, which produce constant and demanding structural dynamics,
have decisively marked the last stage. Currently, there are three key elements,
which compose this process, namely integration, security and development. They
present a new concept of understanding trends in the post Cold War era, where
both consuming and contributing take place rather simultaneously. Overall,
social transformation includes on an interagency approach, and along horizontal
as well as vertical axis, numerous actors, which continue to receive, integrate
and to offer. The span of change is significant, decisive and encouraging.
The region has - most
probably for the first time in its history - a unique chance to achieve
stability and security, through intensive participation in the integration
process. The 2004 EU enlargement with its structural consequences presents a
turning point in this development. We will have an analytical look at the
current situation and its prospects through five theses.
FIVE THESES
First: Three major characteristics dominate
the European security processes, namely complementarity, complexity and their
complicated nature, all being the result of horizontal and
vertical dynamics of interests of various actors as well as their output.
Complementarity
is seen as the dominant feature. Lessons learned from past European history
show that security could only be achieved through complementary activities of
national and international subjects. If such an approach seemed to be primarily
theoretical only a few years ago, the latest scope of activities and
cooperation within major international organizations (the UN, NATO, the EU, the
OSCE, the Council of Europe /CoE/) illustrates the way to proceed. At least two
reasons bring these players closer on the complementarity basis. Because of the
limited pool of resources even the biggest actors cannot withstand an
increasingly higher scale of activities. Also the complex nature of
contemporary security threats and conflicts shows that it is practically
impossible for a single player to develop the whole spectrum of mechanism for
security management. Different approaches, various sets of mechanisms and
networking must be combined and joined.
Complexity
derives from the presence of numerous security players on various vertical and
horizontal levels. The presence of the UN as a global security player is
accompanied by NATO, the EU, the OSCE and the CoE, which occupy different
horizontal positions on a same but lower vertical level. Proceeding down the
scale we would meet on the next level, for example, the Council of Baltic Sea
States, the Višegrad Group, the Regional Cooperation Council etc. Many
participants at various horizontal levels (global, regional, paneuropean,
subeuropean, local etc.) form a security matrix, which is the most significant
way how security as a goal could be achieved. This includes a variety of
players and strengthens a multilateral approach. The matrix as a living model
shows flexibility and offers the framework in particular for local players to
emerge and fit in.
The complicated nature of these processes
seems to a certain extent to be the quite natural outcome of criss-crossing the
first two characteristics. Generally speaking, this includes above all
management of the relations resulting from:
a) The
overlapping of NATO and the EU members.
b) The
non-Nato EU members and vice versa.
c) Relations
of all member countries towards applicant/candidate countries to both
organizations.
d) Relations
to third countries (PfP members and aspirants, countries with which both
organizations have an institutionalized dialogue etc.).
e) The
decisive role of relations between the EU, the USA and the Russian Federation.
This sometimes produces
non-transparent activities and unnecessary overlapping, which is not always
easy to overcome, as well as opens maneuvering space for non-integration
interests. Such situations should be avoided as a matter of a clear and
necessary consensus on a general level, while introducing rules of engagement
on lower levels. This would be even more important to bear in mind since
European security processes form a fundamental part of the integration process
as a whole.
Second: The integration process is the key driving force of
change and progress in Europe.It results in a broad, dynamic and
complex process, where participation of governmental, non-governmental and
private sector is necessary.
This has fundamentally
changed Europe and its state system, known from the past centuries, which was a
constant hostage of war ambitions of political elites striving for military and
economic dominance. Therefore, the integration process, once it has been
adopted, works to the benefit of broader populations, improving their living
conditions and expanding their overall opportunities. In addition, it
stimulates and when necessary also forces political elites to move along
different set of values and principles of policy behaviour, namely in an open,
transparent manner, with interconnected, interdependent and bound together
approach. Such a change does not come by itself, but is a combination of the
results of changing environment and influence of public opinion, enabled and
supported by the media.
One could also claim this
is the point where the post Cold War approach and its notion are being put to
test: cooperation, trust and transparency. Enriched with solidarity, this is
the formula which not only the EU and NATO but also other organizations try to
put forward to the new members and aspirant / candidate countries. This change
is from one point of view stimulated by the integration process and from
another point of view it effects further provision of security and stability
through integration. It is also possible to say that the change itself reflects
/ is being reflected in a safer and more secure international environment,
which directly results in further development and well-being of nations and
people.
The EU accession process
presents an overall structural transformation of a country, following the acquis communitaire and focusing primarily
on structures and values. The free passage of goods, services, capital and
people as well as knowledge is a stimulus, which attracts broader populations.
Therefore, political elites have to create conditions where such goals would be
achievable. This is of primary importance in the countries of the Western
Balkans, since there is a shortage of political programmes, which would compete
for enhancing change along the integration process and its benchmarks. Also,
the EU from its side shall proceed firmly towards the visa liberalization for
the Western Balkans societies, enabling above all the young population and
business community to reach a higher level of mobility and competitiveness in
comparison with their counterparts around Europe.
The efficiency of the
integration process lies also with its enlargement. For this reason the
enlargement policy shall be supported and stimulated both in the EU and in the
Western Balkans. The former has to promote it, since the enlargement process is
also the continuation of the European peace project that started right after
the World War II, and the latter has to grab the opportunity with more
enthusiasm, for the sake of all generations. This would further transform our
societies and decrease the level of uncertainty, which we live in.
Third: The Western Balkans countries are firmly bound in a
network of various integration instruments, which have a necessary potential to
bring the region deeper in the overarching integration interdependency as well
as away from historical disruption.
Currently the region is
practically part of the Stabilization and Association Agreements network, which
has been primarily accomplished during the few previous Presidencies of the EU
Council, the Slovene one in particular. Spanning from the two candidate
countries to the country at the very beginning of the whole process, the
intra-regional dynamics has reached a level, where during the next mandate of
the European Parliament a decisive break-through could be accomplished. Both
the EU and the countries of the region share a huge mutual responsibility for
this endeavour.
However, there is still a
strong need that the countries concerned definitely turn away from conflict and
reach for cooperation as well as from various forms of aggression towards
consensus building. History shall not be forgotten, but it also shall not
stimulate the regeneration of old samples of political behaviour anymore. The
most important basis of the whole Euro-Atlantic integration process, stemming
from its six decades of experience, derives from exactly this message. One
could present this finding with even more enhanced and broader wording: the
structural and substantial importance of the integration process, which has
transformed the European state system, presents the most efficient tool for
stability and security in the Western Balkans.
As far as the future
development of state building in the Western Balkans as a part of its
integration ambition is concerned, there is a clear need for:
-
Definite, full and
complete Europeanization of the region.
-
Elaboration of the EU
requirements supported with clear perception what this means not only for
region.s elites but in particular for its population and individuals.
-
Expressing of the needs of
the region.
Hence, a clear, worked out
and efficient approach for each country and for the region as a whole should be
developed. Enlarging the EU and NATO, through their tools, is the final
structural goal. This goal would, after is has been achieved, turn into a means
for further development of the region as an indispensable part of the European
entity.
The security of the whole
region is continuously being enhanced, strengthened and transformed. One could
follow this principle from the provision of hard security primarily during the
late 90-ties to the provision of soft security afterwards. Hard security is
only one of the elements or aspects around which flexible, creative and firm
security matrix has been developing. Security is being spread through
institution building process and progressed - to say so - along the premises of
introducing, understanding, implementing and enhancing soft security. The
integration process further cements soft security, what would mean
de-securitization of security in its traditional, Cold War approach and
meaning. This matrix is highly sensible because of its complexity and
interdependence of its elements as well as of the regional warfare tradition,
being to a large extent the result of outside interventions.
Fourth:
The Western Balkans
countries have to proceed along the integration compass with more structural
ambition and firm devotion. The integration process stakeholders have to
encourage them with much more invention, belief and above all with a concrete
and efficient approach.
The integration frame has
been clearly set up quite long ago, although being modified all the time. For
the Western Balkan countries this perception has been outstandingly visualized
after the two previous EU enlargements, namely in 2004 and 2007. Since then the
region has been practically embraced by the integration philosophy and its
practical implications.
From one point of view it
is obvious and known what the membership criteria are and how to fulfill them.
There are examples for this all around the region and these experiences are
being shared across the region as well. From another point of view it is also
known what the main current challenges for the countries of the region on their
way towards the EU are: the fight against corruption and organized
transnational crime, the rule of law, institution building, local ownership,
enhanced regional cooperation and full cooperation with the ICTY, all of this
regardless of the will of parts of their political elites. If the integration
ambition was initiated as an impetus from the outside, it could plant roots
also in a reflection of local needs and aspiration.
These processes have
always been a two way street in the history of the integration: clear
expectations from the stakeholder should meet the fulfillment of asked merits
and given promises from the aspirant. This feeds the momentum of the process
and its dynamics as well as balances both the application and the expectation
management. Anyway, it still looks as if the expression of integration ambition
and implementing of this ambition harbour at different sides of the same river.
Accordingly, a more structured ambition and firm devotion would be appreciable
for a faster advancing along the integration path.
Also, more structured and
convincing encouragement should come from the integration process stakeholders
in general. They should be constantly aware that it has been the enlargement of
the integration ambition, which has strengthened Europe and brought it peace,
stability and prosperity. The current global financial crisis should not overshadow
this historical experience. Moreover, the ambition of the EU to finally go
global should not only strengthen its institutional reform, but also revitalize
the enlargement ambition. Both the EU as well as the Western Balkans deserve
it.
Fifth: Slovenia has much potential
to contribute to the region.s further development decisively. It should
upgrade, complement and deepen its approach, in particular with combining
economic exchange, development cooperation and cultural-educational activities
on a larger scale.
In May 2004 Slovenia,
together with nine other countries, became the new member of the EU. These five
years were an opportunity to deepen structural adaptation into integration
process, which has additionally been strengthened and proved by holding the EU
Presidency in the first part of the 2008. This has also upgraded the Slovene
responsibility for the Western Balkans.
Slovenia has to press for
a visa liberalization system for the countries of the Western Balkans. Citizens
cannot be victims of their political elites and their inclinations to either
fulfillment or not of the membership criteria. Social mobility, which drives
the integration process, cannot be hold back because of this. Along with this
goes also keeping Western Balkans issues high and constantly on the EU agenda.
Additionally, offering and expressing constant political support as well as
lobbying inside the EU and its member countries should contribute to better
understanding of the region within the integration, but also for better
understanding of the EU in the region. This would be the best way to substitute
both the enlargement and commitment fatigue with responsible integration
enthusiasm.
Moreover, various
approaches should be combined and complemented, making via facti their output much more
substantial than so far. Extensive and deep economic exchange and commercial
activities should be structurally accompanied by development cooperation
programmes as well as by focused and broad cultural-educational projects, all
of this at a much larger scale. More or less parallel multi-track activities
would gain on efficiency and synergy in both directions. Cultural centers
should be mutually established and direct cooperation among local partners
(municipalities, schools, NGOs etc.) enhanced. The role of extensive and
comprehensive public diplomacy has hardly been touched upon.
The Slovene voice is being
listened to both among the member countries and among the countries of the
region discussed; therefore its role of integration promoter has still much to
gain and the understanding of the key role of the integration process for
stability and security, too.
CONCLUSION
Today
the integration process is undoubtedly the key driving force of change and
progress in Europe. It consists primarily of a cornerstone importance of the
enlargements of both the EU and NATO, supported by a variety of other
integration impulses. Hence, the Euro-Atlantic integration is a lesson learned
as well as the recipe for the Western Balkans, which takes this path, while the
speed at which individual countries move to this goal depends on the success of
their reform efforts.
Integration membership
ambition starts as a goal, which converts itself, once it is achieved, into a
means of providing stability, security and development. This has been the most
obvious and convincing lesson learned from the so far enlargements and their
stakeholders, Slovenia included. It also forms the essence of the dual
enlargement from 2004. The series of enlargements of both organizations after
the end of the Cold War show that membership in NATO is gained first, while the
EU one follows later on. Experiences also explain that, generally speaking, a
decade is needed for a functional and efficient transformation that would fit
within the integration frame. But it is the moment of achieving membership,
when real business starts and when goals convert to means. Only in such a case,
the integration tool provides stability and security.
The combination of both
the EU and NATO enlargements present an opportunity for spreading and cementing
stability and security, where countries are bound in a flexible, efficient and
developing network of values and structures, enhancing and deepening the
provision of hard security with ever-growing soft security. Diversified
dynamics among here presented security players and within here elaborated
context origins from numerous relations and initiatives all leading to the
common goal, i.e. the creation of a secure and safe Europe. The more these
processes are interconnected, interdependent and complementary, the more
chances they have to become global ones.
Ljubljana, 21 April 2009
International Institute for Middle-East
and Balkan Studies (IFIMES) - Ljubljana
Directors:
Bakhtyar Aljaf
Zijad Bećirović, M.Sc.